22nd June 2021

Net Zero

Ambition

Our plenary talks in the morning session all address the topic of Net Zero emissions: the balance of greenhouse gas sources and sinks required to stabilise global temperature. The afternoon parallel sessions include themes that range from fundamental scientific insights and break-throughs to highly applied, user-facing applications. We aim to create dialogue across the spectrum of activity which helps to strengthen the science,  improve communication between our research activities and assist with the translation into applications. The collective aim is to provide us all with an opportunity to discuss and update each other on the latest developments from right across our discipline and share our science and its application.

Agenda

Morning Keynote Plenary

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Zoom ID: 967 4618 3791 (Register for Passcode)

10.00am BST

Conference Welcome

Prof Liz Bentley, CEO, RMetS and Prof Stephen Mobbs, Executive Director, NCAS

Keynote Session

Chair: Dr Steve Smith, Oxford Net Zero

10.05am BST

Climate Science: The Basics

Prof Keith P Shine, Regius Professor of Meteorology and Climate Science, University of Reading

10.35am BST

Net Zero: What, Why and When?

Prof Myles Allen, Professor of Geosystem Science, Environmental Change Institute and Dept of Physics, University of Oxford; Director, Oxford Net Zero

11.05am BST

Science Needed to Achieve Net Zero: A Policy View

Dr Sarah Honour, Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (BEIS)

11.35am BST

Panel Session with all Keynote Speakers

12.05pm - 13.15 BST

Lunch Break

 

Breakout Sessions


13.15pm - 14.30pm
Room One - Climate

Chair: Dr Andrea Dittus

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Zoom ID: 996 0090 3389 (Register for Passcode)

13.15pm BST

The Impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a Coupled Climate Model Ensemble

Dr Dan Hodson, Research Scientist, NCAS, University of Reading

13.35pm BST

Climate and Composition Implications of a Hydrogen Economy

Dr Nicola Warwick, NCAS Research Scientist, NCAS, University of Cambridge

13.55pm BST

The Challenge of Temporal Merging to Obtain Seamless Climate Information Beyond Decadal Time Scales

Dr Daniel Befort, Postdoctoral Research Assistant, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, Department of Physics, University of Oxford

14.15pm BST

The Role of Earth System Interactions in Climate Forcing

Fiona O’Connor, Scientific Manager, Met Office Hadley Centre

Room Two - Air Quality and Composition

Chair: Dr Hugo Ricketts

 

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Zoom ID: 954 4839 5722 (Register for Passcode)

13.15pm BST

Changes In The Level of NO2 and O3 in the UK During The COVID-19 Pandemic

James Lee, Research Professor, NCAS

13.35pm BST

How have Surface NO2 Concentrations Changed as a Result of the UK's COVID-19 Travel Restrictions?

Helen Dacre, Professor of Meteorology, University of Reading

13.55pm BST

Intensive Observations at the NERC Air Quality Supersites

James Allan, NCAS Scientist, NCAS, University of Manchester

14.15pm BST

Future Raman Lidar Plans at Chilbolton Observatory

Judith Jeffery, Lidar and Meteorological Instruments Scientist, STFC/NCAS

Room Three - Weather

Chair: Prof Geraint Vaughan

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Zoom ID: 994 3285 8173 (Register for Passcode)

13.15pm BST

The Role of Atmospheric Science in Tomorrow's Severe Weather Warning

Prof Brian Golding, Fellow in Weather Impacts, Met Office

13.35pm BST

Application of a Holistic Approach to Understanding Heavy Precipitation Response to Climate Change

Dr Abdullah Kahraman, Research Associate, Newcastle University

13.55pm BST

Detecting Robust Non-Stationary Signals from the Noise in Ensemble Data Using Wintertime Euro-Atlantic Circulation Regimes

Swinda Falkena, PhD Candidate, University of Reading

 

14.15pm BST

Weather Regimes in Southeast Asia: Sub-Seasonal Predictability of the Regimes and the Associated High Impact Weather

Paula L M Gonzalez, Research Scientist, NCAS​, Adjunct Research Scientist, International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI)

Short Talks in Parallel Sessions​

15.00pm - 16.30pm BST

Mid-Latitude Dynamics 1


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Chaired by: John Methven

Evidence of Reduced Wintertime Nordic Seas Storminess
Ben Harvey, Research Scientist, NCAS, University of Reading

A Climate Model Evaluation of 3 Hourly Compound Precipitation and Wind Extremes Over Europe
Laura Owen, PhD Student, University of Exeter

Attributing the Role of Climate Change in the 2014 Wintertime Heavy Accumulated Precipitation Event in Southern England and the European Heatwave 2003, using Global Spectrally Nudged Storylines
Linda van Garderen, PhD Student, Helmholtz Zentrum Hereon

Forecast-Based Attribution of a Winter Heatwave Within the Limit of Predictability
Nicholas J. Leach, PhD Student. University of Oxford




Tropical Meteorology 1


Chaired by: Steve Woolnough Join via Zoom ( Register for Passcode) Zoom ID: 967 3160 6793 ( Register for Passcode) The Influence of the QBO on the Tropical Circulation in the Met Office Unified Model Jorge L García Franco, DPhil Student, University of Oxford The Four Regional Varieties of South Asian Monsoon Low-Pressure Systems Akshay Deoras, PhD Student, University of Reading Exploring the Relationship Between the QBO and the MJO in the Hadley Centre Climate Model Dr Martin B. Andrews, Senior Scientist, Met Office Hadley Centre Simulated Modulation of Convective Heating Profiles over the Maritime Continent by the MJO in Convection Permitting and Parametrized Convection Models Emma Howard, Research Scientist, NCAS Orographic Rainfall Processes in India - Results of the IMPROVE Project Dr Andy Turner, Associate Professor of Monsoon Systems, NCAS, University of Reading




Extremes 1


Chaired by: Alan Blyth Join via Zoom ( Register for Passcode) Zoom ID: 976 8805 9575 ( Register for Passcode) Incorporating Vulnerability Information into Impact-Based Forecasts for Drought Dr Vicky Boult, Research Scientist, Dept of Meteorology, University of Reading Impactful Dry Spells in Southern Africa: A Case Study of Zimbabwe Innocent Gibbon T. Masukwedza, PhD Student, University of Sussex Recent and Future Changes in Wet and Dry Season Characteristics Dr Caroline Wainwright, Post-Doctoral Research Assistant, University of Reading, NCAS Analysis of Rainfall Trends and Extreme Precipitation During the Minor Season of Ghana Mohammed Braimah, Meteorologist, Ghana Meteorological Agency Synoptic Features Associated with Thunderstorms over Southern Ghana during the Minor Rainy Season - A Case Study on 28th and 30th October, 2019 Vincent Antwi Asante, Assistant Meteorologist, Ghana Meteorological Agency




Earth System Modelling


Chaired by: Jonathan Gregory Join via Zoom ( Register for Passcode) Zoom ID: 963 6464 0633 ( Register for Passcode) Release of UKESM1.1 An Updated Version of the UKESM1 Model Colin Jones, Professor, NCAS, University of Leeds Comparison of the Surface Mass and Energy Balance of UKESM and MAR Forced by UKESM over the Greenland Ice Sheet: Present and Future Charlotte Lang, University of Reading Congo Basin Deforestation: How Does it Impact Vegetation and What Could This Mean for Land-Atmosphere Interactions in the Region? Coralie Adams, PhD Student, University of Manchester Developing a Seamless Global Coupled Model in Partnership: The GC Programme Dr Charline Marzin, Science Manager, Met Office Future Precipitation and Surface Melt on Ice Sheets in the UK Earth System Model: Implications for Projecting Sea-Level Dr Robin S. Smith, Senior Research Scientist, NCAS, University of Reading




Chemical Process Studies


Chaired by John Pyle Join via Zoom ( Register for Passcode) Zoom ID: 991 9372 4467 ( Register for Passcode) Large Simulated Future Changes in the Nitrate Radical and Implications for Oxidation Chemistry Dr Scott Archer-Nicholls, Postdoctoral Research Associate, University of Cambridge Assessing Uncertainty in the Oxidation of DMS in Earth System Models Bea Cala, MPhil Student, University of Cambridge AMCLIM – A Framework for Climate-Dependent Ammonia Emission Modelling Jize Jiang, PhD Student, University of Edinburgh Improvements to the Representation of BVOC Chemistry-Climate Interactions in UKCA with the CRI-Strat 2 Mechanism: Incorporation and Evaluation James Weber, PhD Student, University of Cambridge Ozone Budgets in UKESM AerChemMIP Experiments Dr Paul Griffiths, NCAS Research Scientist, NCAS, University of Cambridge




Machine Learning


Chaired by: Duncan Watson-Parris Join via Zoom ( Register for Passcode) Zoom ID: 915 5872 4574 ( Register for Passcode) Atmospheric Patterns Classification and NWP Models Verification Raffaele Salerno and Laura Bertolani, Senior Researcher, R&D Dept, Meteo Expert, Milan, Italy Defining Regimes of Cloud Controlling Factors using Machine Learning
Dr Alyson Douglas, Postdoctoral Research Assistant, University of Oxford Stratospheric Ozone in Earth System Models: Future Modelling Strategies
Dr Beatriz Monge-Sanz, Research Scientist, NCAS and University of Oxford Applications of Agnostic Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Neural Networks in River Discharge Modelling Kieran M R Hunt, Senior Research Scientist, NCAS, University of Reading Quantifying COVID-19 Related Fossil Fuel CO2 Reductions using Atmospheric Potential Oxygen (APO)
Penelope Pickers, Research Fellow, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia A New Statistical Learning Approach to Constrain Global Cloud Feedback and its Impact on Climate Sensitivity
Dr Peer Nowack, Lecturer in Atmospheric Chemistry and Data Science, Climate Research Unit, University of East Anglia




Stratospheric Processes 1


Chaired by: Mark Baldwin Join via Zoom ( Register for Passcode) Zoom ID: 919 7394 7102 ( Register for Passcode) Radiative Temperature Changes Associated with 2016 QBO Disruption Alison Ming, Leverhulme Trust Early Career Fellow, University of Cambridge The Main Findings of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Initiative Dr Scott Osprey, NCAS Senior Researcher, NCAS and University of Oxford Total Column Ozone Projections under Different SSP Scenarios James Keeble, NCAS PDRA, NCAS, University of Cambridge Dynamics of the 2009 Split Stratospheric Sudden Warming Prof Lesley Gray, NCAS Senior Scientist, NCAS, University of Oxford How do Stratospheric Perturbations Influence North American Weather Regimes?
Simon Lee, PhD Student, University of Reading




Clouds and Moisture


Chaired by: John Marsham Join via Zoom ( Register for Passcode) Zoom ID: 953 0071 7683 ( Register for Passcode) Evaluating Memory Properties in Different Convective Parameterisation Schemes Dr Chimene Laure Daleu, Postdoctoral Research Scientist, University of Reading A Global Climatology of Lagrangian Coherent Structures Shaping the Atmospheric Moisture Distribution Gabriel Perez, PhD Student, University of Reading In-Situ Measurements of Cirrus Clouds on a Global Scale Dr Gary Lloyd, Research Fellow, NCAS, University of Manchester Decadal Trends in Surface Solar Radiation and Cloud Cover Over the North Atlantic Sector during the Last Four Decades: Drivers and Physical Processes Buwen Dong, Principal Research Fellow, NCAS and University of Reading

Seasonal Impact-Based Mapping of Compound Hazards
Dr John Hillier, Reader in Natural Hazard Risk, Loughborough University




Measurements of Air Quality


Chaired by: Dr Carly Reddington Join via Zoom ( Register for Passcode) Zoom ID: 976 6362 3725 ( Register for Passcode) QUANT: A Traceable Assessment of Low-Cost Sensors in UK Environments Sebastian Diez, Research Associate, Wolfson Atmospheric Chemistry Laboratories, University of York Measurement and Simulation Comparison for Aerosol Chambers Dr Simon P. O'Meara, Postdoctoral Research Associate, NCAS, University of Manchester PM 10 and PM 2.5 Emission Factors for Non-Exhaust Particles from Road Vehicles: Dependence upon Vehicle Mass and Implications for Battery Electric Vehicles David Beddows, Research Scientist, NCAS, University of Birmingham Changes in Ambient Air Quality and Atmospheric Composition and Reactivity in the South East of the UK as a Result of the COVID-19 Lockdown
Dr Kevin P. Wyche, Research Centre Director, Centre for Earth Observation Science, University of Brighton




Atmospheric Composition: Emissions and Measurements


Chaired by: Ruth Purvis Join via Zoom ( Register for Passcode) Zoom ID: 956 7791 0104 ( Register for Passcode) Using Radon-222 to Determine 'Baseline' Concentrations of Trace Gases at the Weybourne Atmospheric Observatory, UK Leigh S Fleming, PhD Student, University of East Anglia Atmospheric Emissions from the UK Oil and Gas Industry Shona Wilde, Postdoctoral Researcher, Wolfson Atmospheric Chemistry Laboratories, University of York Polyisotopologue Ratios: A New Tool to Constrain Greenhouse Gas Budgets Grant Forster, Research Fellow, NCAS, University of East Anglia Long-Term Trends in Tropospheric Composition at the Cape Verde Atmospheric Observatory Matthew J. Rowlinson, NCAS Research Associate, NCAS, University of York Greenhouse Gas Flux Measurements onboard the FAAM Research Aircraft: Capability and Future Applications Dr Stéphane Bauguitte, Chemistry Specialist, FAAM Airborne Laboratory, NCAS The Rapid Rise of Methane: The Importance of Tropical Emissions Euan G. Nisbet, Professor, Greenhouse Gas group, Dept. of Earth Sciences, Royal Holloway, University of London




Global Teleconnections


Chaired by: Matt Collins Join via Zoom ( Register for Passcode) Zoom ID: 968 3224 0546 ( Register for Passcode) The Role of Teleconnection Patterns in the Variability and Trends of Growing Season Indices Across Europe Dr Philip Craig, Research Scientist, NCAS, University of Reading The Impact of Land-Ocean Contrast of the Seasonal to Decadal Variability of the Northern Hemisphere Jet Stream Samantha Hallam, Post-Doctoral Researcher, Irish Climate Analysis Research Unit, Maynooth University, Ireland Influence of Arctic Sea Ice Cover on Zonal Wind over Western Europe Dr Peter Cook, Research Scientist, NCAS-Climate, University of Reading Mechanisms of Internal Atlantic Multidecadal Variability at Two Different Model Resolutions Michael Lai, PhD Student, University of Reading Decadal Variability of the East Asian Summer Jet and its Relationship with Sea Surface Temperature Variations Dr Matt Patterson, Postdoctoral Research Assistant, University of Oxford Equatorial Wave Activity and Teleconnections from ENSO in Observations and GloSea5 Gui-Ying Yang, Senior Research Scientist, NCAS Climate, University of Reading